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Sunday · July 5 ✦

RED SOX @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

RED SOX 7
Angels 5

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 7–5 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Angels Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 67% 33% 4–2
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 42% 58%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 56% 44%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 52% 48% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–31

63% across 83 games

Angels this season

52–32

62% across 84 games