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Saturday · July 4 ✦

RED SOX @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

RED SOX 8
Angels 1

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 8–1 Red Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Angels Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 67% 33% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 36% 64% — ✗
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games