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Friday · July 3 ✦

RED SOX @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

RED SOX 5
Angels 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 5–2 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Angels Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–2 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 37% 63% — ✗
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 48% 52% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games