Back to the recap

Friday · July 3 ✦

RED SOX @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

RED SOX 5
Angels 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 5–2 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Angels Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–2
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 37% 63%
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 49% 51%
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 48% 52% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–31

63% across 83 games

Angels this season

52–32

62% across 84 games