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Monday · June 22 · 6:38 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium. · 74 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

ORIOLES 6
Angels 1

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 6–1 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Angels Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 57% 43% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games