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Tuesday · June 23 ✦

ORIOLES @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

Orioles 1
ANGELS 5

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–5 Angels

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Angels Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 46% 54% — ✓
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 66% 34% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 3–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games