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Monday · June 8 ✦

ASTROS @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

ASTROS 5
Angels 4

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 5–4 Astros

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Angels Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 44% 56%
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 40% 60%
Consensus Houston Astros 50% 50% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

70–53

57% across 123 games

Angels this season

69–56

55% across 125 games