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Monday · May 18 · 6:40 PM ✦

ATHLETICS @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium. · 71 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

Athletics 1
ANGELS 2

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Athletics · Actual: 1–2 Angels

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Angels Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 44% 56% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Athletics 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Athletics 58% 42%
Random Forest Athletics 60% 40%
Consensus Athletics 54% 46% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Angels this season

31–14

69% across 45 games