Back to the recap

Saturday · May 16 · 6:40 PM ✦

DODGERS @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf

Final

DODGERS 15
Angels 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 15–2 Dodgers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Angels Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 52% 48%
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 34% 66%
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 45% 55% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

23–21

52% across 44 games

Angels this season

31–14

69% across 45 games