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Saturday · May 2 · 6:38 pm ✦

METS @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

Mets 3
ANGELS 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 3–4 Angels

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Angels Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 69% 31% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 55% 45%
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 47% 53%
Consensus New York Mets 56% 44% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Angels this season

31–14

69% across 45 games