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Tuesday · April 21 ✦

BLUE JAYS @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

BLUE JAYS 4
Angels 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 4–2 Blue Jays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Angels Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 37% 63%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 55% 45%
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 47% 53% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

20–26

43% across 46 games

Angels this season

31–15

67% across 46 games