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Sunday · September 27 · 2:10 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 72 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph r to l

Final

Guardians 2
ROYALS 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 2–3 Royals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Royals Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 44% 56% — ✓
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 59% 41% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games