Saturday · September 26 · 6:10 pm ✦
GUARDIANS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l
Final
GUARDIANS
11
Royals
5
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 11–5 Guardians
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 30% | 70% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games