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Friday · September 25 · 6:40 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 64 degrees, rain, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

GUARDIANS 12
Royals 9

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 12–9 Guardians

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 44% 56% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 40% 60% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games