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Monday · September 7 · 1:10 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

D-BACKS 5
Royals 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 5–4 D-backs

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Royals Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 42% 58% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 46% 54% 4–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games