Tuesday · September 8 · 6:40 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 98 degrees, clear, wind 12 mph out to lf
Final
D-BACKS
5
Royals
3
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 5–3 D-backs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games