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Wednesday · September 9 · 6:40 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 75 degrees, rain, wind 4 mph in from rf

Final

D-backs 2
ROYALS 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 2–5 Royals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 33% 67% — ✓
Consensus Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games