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Saturday · September 5 · 6:10 pm ✦

BLUE JAYS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 98 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

BLUE JAYS 4
Royals 3

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 4–3 Blue Jays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Royals Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 60% 40% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 44% 56% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games