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Friday · September 4 · 7:10 pm ✦

BLUE JAYS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 96 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

BLUE JAYS 9
Royals 2

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 9–2 Blue Jays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 36% 64% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games