Wednesday · September 2 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 100 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph r to l
Final
MARLINS
9
Royals
6
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 9–6 Marlins
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 36% | 64% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games