Thursday · September 3 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 97 degrees, clear, wind 12 mph out to lf
Final
Marlins
3
ROYALS
7
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 3–7 Royals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games