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Tuesday · September 1 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 97 degrees, clear, wind 11 mph out to cf

Final

MARLINS 6
Royals 3

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 6–3 Marlins

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Royals Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Miami Marlins 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 40% 60% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 50% 50% 4–3 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games