Sunday · August 23 · 1:11 PM ✦
TIGERS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf
Final
Tigers
7
ROYALS
11
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 7–11 Royals
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 58% | 42% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 65% | 35% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games