Friday · August 21 ✦
TIGERS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium.
Final
Tigers
2
ROYALS
5
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–5 Royals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 67% | 33% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games