Saturday · August 22 · 6:15 pm ✦
TIGERS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 84 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph in from cf
Final
Tigers
1
ROYALS
3
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 1–3 Royals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 52% | 48% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games