Back to the recap

Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

Athletics 3
ROYALS 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 3–4 Royals

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 46% 54%
Random Forest Athletics 54% 46%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 43% 57% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

73–50

59% across 123 games

Royals this season

66–57

54% across 123 games