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Saturday · August 8 · 6:10 pm ✦

CUBS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 88 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

Cubs 3
ROYALS 6

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–6 Royals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Royals Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 43% 57%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 52% 48%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 50% 50% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

60–63

49% across 123 games

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games