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Saturday · August 8 · 6:10 pm ✦

CUBS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 88 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

Cubs 3
ROYALS 6

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–6 Royals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Royals Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 43% 57% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 52% 48% — ✗
Consensus Chicago Cubs 50% 50% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games