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Thursday · August 6 ✦

TWINS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium.

Final

TWINS 4
Royals 3

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 4–3 Twins

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Royals Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 36% 64%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 44% 56%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 50% 50% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

64–59

52% across 123 games

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games