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Friday · August 7 · 7:10 pm ✦

CUBS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 86 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph out to lf

Final

CUBS 6
Royals 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 6–4 Cubs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Royals Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 62% 38% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 41% 59%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 26% 74%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

60–63

49% across 123 games

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games