← Back to the recap

Wednesday · July 22 · 1:10 PM ✦

GIANTS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 79 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Giants 4
ROYALS 5

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 4–5 Royals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Royals Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 60% 40% 3–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 60% 40% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus San Francisco Giants 52% 48% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games