Tuesday · July 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
GIANTS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph in from lf
Final
Giants
2
ROYALS
3
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 2–3 Royals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Giants | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Francisco Giants | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Francisco Giants | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Francisco Giants | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Francisco Giants | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 28% | 72% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Giants this season
89–65
58% across 154 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games