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Sunday · July 19 ✦

PADRES @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium.

Final

PADRES 19
Royals 2

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 19–2 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Royals Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 40% 60%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 31% 69%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 48% 52% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games

Royals this season

66–59

53% across 125 games