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Sunday · July 19 ✦

PADRES @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium.

Final

PADRES 19
Royals 2

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 19–2 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Royals Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 40% 60% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 31% 69% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games