← Back to the recap

Monday · July 20 · 6:40 pm ✦

GIANTS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 96 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

Giants 3
ROYALS 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 3–4 Royals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Logistic San Francisco Giants 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 26% 74% — ✓
Consensus Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games