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Saturday · July 18 · 3:11 PM ✦

PADRES @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

Padres 1
ROYALS 6

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 1–6 Royals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 49% 51%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 32% 68%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games

Royals this season

66–59

53% across 125 games