Monday · July 6 · 1:10 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 85 degrees, sunny, wind 4 mph l to r
Final
Phillies
1
ROYALS
15
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 1–15 Royals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 36% | 62% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 74% | 26% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 52% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games