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Friday · July 17 · 7:10 pm ✦

PADRES @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 87 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph out to cf

Final

Padres 6
ROYALS 7

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 6–7 Royals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 2–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 36% 64% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 46% 54%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 54% 46%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games

Royals this season

66–59

53% across 125 games