Sunday · July 5 · 2:05 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph r to l
Final
Phillies
2
ROYALS
5
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–5 Royals
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games