Saturday · July 4 · 7:10 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf
Final
PHILLIES
6
Royals
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–1 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 30% | 70% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games