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Thursday · July 2 · 6:40 pm ✦

RAYS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 91 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf

Final

RAYS 5
Royals 2

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 5–2 Rays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Royals Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 60% 40%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 46% 54%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games

Royals this season

42–43

49% across 85 games