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Wednesday · July 1 · 6:40 pm ✦

RAYS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to lf

Final

RAYS 4
Royals 0

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–0 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Royals Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 55% 45%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 47% 53%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games

Royals this season

42–43

49% across 85 games