Tuesday · June 30 · 6:40 pm ✦
RAYS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 91 degrees, clear, wind 15 mph out to lf
Final
RAYS
10
Royals
4
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 10–4 Rays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games