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Tuesday · June 30 · 6:40 pm ✦

RAYS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 91 degrees, clear, wind 15 mph out to lf

Final

RAYS 10
Royals 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 10–4 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 50% 50%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 48% 52%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games

Royals this season

42–43

49% across 85 games