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Saturday · June 13 · 6:10 pm ✦

ASTROS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

ASTROS 8
Royals 7

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 8–7 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Royals Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 58% 42% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Houston Astros 52% 48%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 48% 52%
Consensus Houston Astros 53% 47% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

52–34

60% across 86 games

Royals this season

43–43

50% across 86 games