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Thursday · June 11 · 3:30 PM ✦

RANGERS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

RANGERS 4
Royals 2

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 4–2 Rangers

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 33% 67% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 47% 53%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 39% 61%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Royals this season

43–43

50% across 86 games