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Wednesday · June 10 · 6:40 pm ✦

RANGERS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 85 degrees, cloudy, wind 17 mph out to lf

Final

RANGERS 6
Royals 4

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 6–4 Rangers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 50% 50%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 37% 63%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 46% 54% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Royals this season

43–43

50% across 86 games