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Friday · May 22 ✦

MARINERS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium.

Final

MARINERS 2
Royals 0

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 2–0 Mariners

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 43% 57%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 42% 58%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 46% 54% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games