Wednesday · May 20 · 6:41 PM ✦
RED SOX @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 65 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from rf
Final
RED SOX
4
Royals
3
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 4–3 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games