Tuesday · May 19 ✦
RED SOX @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium.
Final
RED SOX
7
Royals
1
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 7–1 Red Sox
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games