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Tuesday · May 19 ✦

RED SOX @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium.

Final

RED SOX 7
Royals 1

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 7–1 Red Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 2–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 40% 60%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 56% 44%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games