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Sunday · May 10 · 6:22 PM ✦

TIGERS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 69 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph l to r

Final

TIGERS 6
Royals 3

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 6–3 Tigers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 45% 55% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 46% 54% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games