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Sunday · May 10 · 6:22 PM ✦

TIGERS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 69 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph l to r

Final

TIGERS 6
Royals 3

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 6–3 Tigers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 45% 55%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 49% 51%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 46% 54% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games