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Monday · May 18 · 6:10 PM ✦

RED SOX @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph r to l

Final

RED SOX 3
Royals 1

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 3–1 Red Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 52% 48%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 56% 44%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games