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Saturday · May 9 · 6:10 pm ✦

TIGERS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

Tigers 1
ROYALS 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 1–5 Royals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 49% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Kansas City Royals 46% 53% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games