Friday · May 8 · 6:41 PM ✦
TIGERS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 64 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 0 mph calm
Final
Tigers
3
ROYALS
4
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–4 Royals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games